Box Office Predictions: ‘Exodus: Gods and Kings’ is Your Clear Winner this Weekend

Exodus: Gods and Kings is your clear winner this week. They are marketing the living hades out of it, and best of all they are completely lying about what this movie is. What it is… a mess. The ads make it look like an action movie, but there’s not all that much action in the first half. It’s also long, and the recent history of “ancient action” isn’t too solid. Look no further than Noah300: The Prequel, and Wrath of the Titans. This will make money, because it’s the only new wide release, but it won’t make silly money. I’ve given it $8k per theater to bring it in at $26.4 million.

Chris Rock‘s Top Five is only getting 975 theaters, or else it might have been an actual contender. I have it coming in higher per theater than Exodus: Gods and Kings, but it won’t be nearly enough. This is also being mis-marketed as a comedy, when in real life it’s Birdman light (or diet Birdman) – it features Chris Rock comedy, but really it’s about a typecast fella coming to terms with that dynamic. Solid film, and audiences will support it, but only to the tune of $11.7 million.

How many weekends have we predicted The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1? A 55 percent drop leaves it at $9.8 million. At $594 million worldwide this can only be considered a financial failure, people seem to be sitting out this particular part one of two. Was it the overall film quality? Or are they waiting for the other shoe to drop? This phenomenon did happen with Potter and Twilight as well, at least domestically, but it wasn’t so dramatic.

Penguins of Madagascar was another disaster. It’s worth noting just how dismal this season has been. Only about 50 seats per showing time are being sold, even for a film like Hunger Games last weekend. That’s a huge amount of empty capacity for a movie that was expecting big things. Same goes for Penguins of Madagascar, a budget of $132 million and box office receipts of $144 million. That’s a bad situation. $5.5 million this weekend won’t help matters too much either.

Your turn, we’re almost done with the year!

SIDE NOTE: Some of the theater numbers below are estimates. We’ll have the actual counts in Sunday’s wrap-up article.

For a complete look at the rules and regulations on how to compete click the “Rules & Regulations” tab at the top of the page right here.

Laremy’s Box-Office Predictions for December 12 – December 14, 2014

  • Exodus: Gods And Kings
    • 20TH CENTURY FOX
    • $26.4 million
    • THEATERS: 3,300 ($8,000 per theater)
    • BUDGET: $140 million
    • ROTTEN TOMATOES: 28%
  • Top Five (Paramount Pictures) – $11.7 million

Playing in 975 theaters ($12,000 avg.) / 87%

  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 (Lionsgate) – $9.8 million

Playing in 4,000 theaters ($2,450 avg.) / $125 million budget / 65%

  • Penguins of Madagascar (DreamWorks Animation) – $5.4 million

Playing in 3,775 theaters ($1,430 avg.) / $132 million budget / 72%

  • Horrible Bosses 2 (New Line Cinema) – $5 million

Playing in 3,400 theaters ($1,471 avg.) / $42 million budget / 35%

  • Interstellar (Paramount Pictures, Warner Bros.) – $4.2 million

Playing in 3,000 theaters ($1,400 avg.) / $165 million budget / 72%

  • Big Hero 6 (Walt Disney Animation Studios) – $3.6 million

Playing in 2,800 theaters ($1,286 avg.) / $165 million budget / 89%

  • Dumb and Dumber To (Universal Pictures) – $2.3 million

Playing in 3,000 theaters ($767 avg.) / $40 million budget / 28%

  • The Theory of Everything (Focus Features) – $1.5 million

Playing in 800 theaters ($1,875 avg.) / $15 million budget / 80%

  1. Gone Girl (20th Century Fox) – $1 million

Playing in 1,205 theaters ($830 avg.) / $61 million budget / 88%

CLICK HERE TO BROWSE OUR BOX-OFFICE CHARTS AND COMPARE LAREMY’S PREDICTIONS

69 Readers Have Posted Predictions

  • Vibhor Panda
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $9.6 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $5.2 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $25.6 million
  • Top Five – $10.8 million
  • Phoxhunter
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $11.45 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $6.52 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $29.1 million
  • Top Five – $8.75 million
  • TimmaeXVX
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $9 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $5 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $22.3 million
  • Top Five – $8.5 million
  • Jason Lavender
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $10.2 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $4.6 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $27.1 million
  • Top Five – $10.8 million
  • Matt Taylor
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $9.4 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $5.4 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $28.2 million
  • Top Five – $10.9 million
  • rusty
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $13.1 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $8.4 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $19.4 million
  • Top Five – $9.9 million
  • Corbin
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $10.1 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $6.3 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $31.2 million
  • Top Five – $15.4 million
  • PJ Edwards
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $13.2 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $5.0 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $27.0 million
  • Top Five – $10.0 million
  • dam94
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $8.9 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $4.3 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $22.4 million
  • Top Five – $15.6 million
  • Michael
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $9.6 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $5.2 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $26.5 million
  • Top Five – $10.3 million
  • Dave AD
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $12.5 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $8.5 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $20.5 million
  • Top Five – $15.5 million
  • moth
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $9.56 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $4.99 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $24.51 million
  • Top Five – $13.78 million
  • Arthur Carlson
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $11.5 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $8.7 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $23.8 million
  • Top Five – $12.5 million
  • Winchester
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $8.15 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $4.98 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $27.25 million
  • Top Five – $10.19 million
  • Daz Patatoes
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $11.2 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $5.6 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $30.7 million
  • Top Five – $9.3 million
  • Guthrie
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $8.4 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $5.3 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $25.2 million
  • Top Five – $12.1 million
  • Bri
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $8.6 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $6.1 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $34 million
  • Top Five – $10 million
  • Israel Valencia
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $9.5 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $5.0 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $24.7 million
  • Top Five – $12.1 million
  • coltonhaynes22
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $12.4 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $7.2 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $27.1 million
  • Top Five – $10.6 million
  • Fredie Fred
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $10.5 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $6.1 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $21.3 million
  • Top Five – $9.4 million
  • Eric83
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $9.12 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $4.96 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $31.32 million
  • Top Five – $9.32 million
  • Torryz
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $10.2 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $9.4 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $24.5 million
  • Top Five – $12.5 million
  • cougarfaster96
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $12 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $8.4 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $30.6 million
  • Top Five – $11.8 million
  • paststrange
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $9.6 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $4.8 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $20.3 million
  • Top Five – $10.6 million
  • Bazellis
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $12.75 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $7.8 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $18.2 million
  • Top Five – $7.65 million
  • Alan Smithee
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $10.4 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $4.9 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $22.8 million
  • Top Five – $7.8 million
  • Peete
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $9.4 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $6.1 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $34.2 million
  • Top Five – $9.9 million
  • Stephen Jay
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $8.9 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $5.1 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $17.1 million
  • Top Five – $14.1 million
  • zm
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $11.5 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $6.0 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $29.6 million
  • Top Five – $11.6 million
  • Jack Tyler
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $9 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $5.5 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $22 million
  • Top Five – $8 million
  • HazardousKirby
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $10.2 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $6.0 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $25.1 million
  • Top Five – $12.6 million
  • Driver
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $7.12 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $4.91 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $30.67 million
  • Top Five – $8.65 million
  • Athar
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $9.4 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $6.1 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $37.6 million
  • Top Five – $18.9 million
  • Will Ashton
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $14.7 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $8.6 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $23.8 million
  • Top Five – $12.5 million
  • MM
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $9.87 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $5.34 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $28.68 million
  • Top Five – $12.5 million
  • iFearJohnny
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $11.5 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $6 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $24 million
  • Top Five – $8.6 million
  • Cordia
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $10.3 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $6 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $28.3 million
  • Top Five – $11.1 million
  • Roger
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $9.91 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $5.12 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $21.8 million
  • Top Five – $8.71 million
  • Joe K
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $9.2 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $6 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $22.4 million
  • Top Five – $10.2 million
  • Derrik Cupps
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $10.1 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $5.1 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $20.4 million
  • Top Five – $10.1 million
  • tomsen
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $9.55 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $8.50 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $43.10 million
  • Top Five – $11.70 million
  • Jeffrey
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $10.4 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $4.8 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $29.8 million
  • Top Five – $8.5 million
  • Austin Gorski
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $9.6 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $5.0 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $29.8 million
  • Top Five – $10.2 million
  • Rach
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $7.4 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $4.4 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $33.1 million
  • Top Five – $21.1 million
  • Peter Bandrowsky
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $11 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $7.9 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $34.8 million
  • Top Five – $17.8 million
  • Vaus
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $11.11 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $5.55 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $24.44 million
  • Top Five – $16.16 million
  • Andy Athens
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $9 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $7 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $25 million
  • Top Five – $13.4 million
  • jonjon
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $11.66 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $6.0 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $21.65 million
  • Top Five – $14.2 million
  • André Marques
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $11.8 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $5.6 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $23.2 million
  • Top Five – $16.5 million
  • Maj. Kong
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $10.4 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $3.9 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $20.8 million
  • Top Five – $8.5 million
  • Cappie Chamberlain
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $9.1 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $5.6 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $29.3 million
  • Top Five – $12.0 million
  • austinjoel
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $13.0 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $7.5 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $35.0 million
  • Top Five – $11.5 million
  • moasey
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $8.8 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $6.1 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $28.8 million
  • Top Five – $10.6 million
  • luis Remelli
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $11.3 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $4.6 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $33.1 million
  • Top Five – $14.7 million
  • Nathan
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $10 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $5.8 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $25.8 million
  • Top Five – $11 million
  • YeeHaa
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $11.35 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $7.19 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $23.00 million
  • Top Five – $8.45 million
  • Murray Mandzak
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $8.8 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $6.6 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $19.5 million
  • Top Five – $7.8 million
  • Rob
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $11.44 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $7.5 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $23.4 million
  • Top Five – $7.2 million
  • Mykael
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $11.2 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $6.4 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $26.4 million
  • Top Five – $8 million
  • Exxdee13
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $10.9 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $6.8 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $26.2 million
  • Top Five – $9.6 million
  • Jimmy B
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $10.6 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $6.54 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $25.2 million
  • Top Five – $11.9 million
  • GregDinskisk
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $10.12 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $4.567 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $35.66 million
  • Top Five – $22.21 million
  • cineJAB
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $10.21 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $4.65 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $13.71 million
  • Top Five – $16.91 million
  • Andrew13
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $10.1 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $6.3 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $27.6 million
  • Top Five – $9.4 million
  • Kieran
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $9.5 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $6.8 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $23.2 million
  • Top Five – $8.9 million
  • Ryan Jayden
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $11.55 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $6.90 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $24.3 million
  • Top Five – $7.80 million
  • Abraham Sánchez
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $11.68 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $6.87 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $27.35 million
  • Top Five – $7.11 million
  • https://web.archive.org/web/20150609062433im_/http:/1.gravatar.com/avatar/72a4e407ce740989783f9bcf0b22d174?s=40&d=blank&r=r4:59:15 PMJ T
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $11.85 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $7.15 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $25.05 million
  • Top Five – $9.05 million
  • https://web.archive.org/web/20150609062433im_/http:/0.gravatar.com/avatar/046b2024d7df8783e0f0b7a8d70e0a46?s=40&d=blank&r=r4:59:15 PMReturn of the BT
  • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – $11.95 million
  • Penguins of Madagascar – $6.85 million
  • Exodus: Gods And Kings – $27.55 million
  • Top Five – $9.45 million

The current standings heading into this weekend can be seen on the leaderboard here.


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